Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Tommy Paul		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.7	2.27
	1.57	2.38
	1.57	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	2.31 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
58.9%

Mikael Ymer
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tommy Paul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikael Ymer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Tommy Paul - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Ymer will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Tommy Paul - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
11.10.21	Andrey Rublev - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Tommy Paul - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
07.10.21	Tommy Paul - Feliciano Lopez	2:0 ✺
ATP San Diego
28.09.21	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWL
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Sofia
28.09.21	John Millman - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
22.09.21	Mikael Ymer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
21.09.21	Mikael Ymer - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Mikael Ymer - Roberto Marcora	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Jenson Brooksby - Mikael Ymer	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.17	Tommy Paul - Mikael Ymer	2:1

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