Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TORONTO (CANADA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Tommy Paul		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
	2.9	1.41
	2.9	1.42
	3.07	1.43
	2.9	1.4
	2.91	1.41	Watch
	3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
32.3%

Jannik Sinner
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.1%	0%	51.9%

Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Sinner will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sinner is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Tommy Paul - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Tommy Paul - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
03.08.23	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Andy Murray - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. walkover ✺
09.08.23	Matteo Berrettini - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
14.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
22.06.22	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	2:1
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	1:2

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