Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Tommy Paul		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	2 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
52.8%

Sebastian Korda
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Korda will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Korda (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Korda (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 3 - 50%). Korda (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 24. Korda is ranked ATP: 50.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 2.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Adam Walton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Tommy Paul - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
22.06.24	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	3:2
ATP San Diego
28.09.21	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Parma
28.05.21	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
09.01.21	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	1:2

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