Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Delray Beach 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alex Michelsen		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.98)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
41.4%

Sebastian Korda
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Korda will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 3 - 50%). Korda (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41. Korda is ranked ATP: 50.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Michelsen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Michael Zheng - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex Michelsen	0:2

Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda