Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Adelaide 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tristan Schoolkate		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.17)	1.64 (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
42.4%

Rinky Hijikata
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Hijikata will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hijikata: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tristan Schoolkate will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 111.

Hijikata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hijikata could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schoolkate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Colton Smith - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rinky Hijikata	Hijikata R. walkover ✺
03.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.08.21	Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata	0:2

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