Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
			Watch
	1.73	1.99
	1.73	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.09)	2 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
53.6%

Rinky Hijikata
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rinky Hijikata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Matteo Arnaldi - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hijikata will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rinky Hijikata will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 61. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 113.

Hijikata is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Hijikata will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Alex Bolt - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	James McCabe - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Tai Sach - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
19.06.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1

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