Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Ugo Blanchet		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.37	3.17
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
66.2%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ugo Blanchet - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Caniato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 173. Caniato is ranked ATP: 693.

Blanchet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caniato is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blanchet is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Ugo Blanchet - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Arthur Fery - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlo Alberto Caniato	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Kasra Rahmani	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LL?LW

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