Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1


	Karen Khachanov		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.11	Watch
	1.78	2.15
	1.73	2.16	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.71	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
55.3%

Brandon Nakashima
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Karen Khachanov - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 38.

Khachanov in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Khachanov to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Vienna
23.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
20.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Vienna
23.10.24	Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

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