Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Ugo Humbert		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.61	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
59.1%

Corentin Moutet
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Ugo Humbert - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Humbert (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ugo Humbert will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Moutet (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 22. Moutet is ranked ATP: 83.

Humbert has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moutet's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humbert is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Rinky Hijikata - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Corentin Moutet - Harold Mayot	Moutet C. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
29.10.22	Ugo Humbert - Corentin Moutet	0:2

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