Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.42	1.64
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.34)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
39.9%

Titouan Droguet
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Users Predictions: Titouan Droguet will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Titouan Droguet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 109. Droguet is ranked ATP: 114.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Droguet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Droguet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LLWW
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Estoril
20.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
05.11.24	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:1
ATP Marseille
04.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:0

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