Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ugo Humbert		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.48
	1.58	2.53
	1.49	2.54	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
61.7%

Mattia Bellucci
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Ugo Humbert - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Bellucci will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 33. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humbert is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP London
20.06.26	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Halle
18.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL

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