Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Ugo Humbert		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.79
	2.04	1.87
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)	1.81 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
47.6%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	0%	84.4%

Ugo Humbert - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (65 of 77 users predict this - 84.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.32% – 92.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Humbert is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carreno Busta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Antwerp
19.10.20	Kimmer Coppejans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
15.10.20	Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
14.10.20	Pavel Kotov - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.09.20	Ugo Humbert - Marc Polmans	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.09.20	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Roland Garros
07.10.20	Novak Djokovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:1 ✺
05.10.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Daniel Altmaier	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:3 ✺
01.10.20	Guido Pella - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3 ✺
28.09.20	John Millman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

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