Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2


	Valentin Royer		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.65	1.25	Watch
	4.15	1.27
	3.87	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.86)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
24.5%

Alexander Bublik
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Royer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 88. Bublik is ranked ATP: 19.

Royer has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Bublik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.25	Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Valentin Royer - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Valentin Royer - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.25	Alexander Bublik - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWW??

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