Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Dalibor Svrcina		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.66	1.33
	3.40	1.30	Watch
			Watch
	3.61	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.17)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
26.6%

Alexander Bublik
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svrcina: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 3 - 50%). Bublik (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Bublik (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bublik (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 99. Bublik is ranked ATP: 19.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Svrcina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Matteo Berrettini - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Timofey Skatov	Skatov T. retired ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWL?L
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W??LW

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