Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2


	Alexander Bublik		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.3
	1.33	3.64
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.34	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.26)	3.36 ↓ (3.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
71.6%

Yibing Wu
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Alexander Bublik - Yibing Wu Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Wu will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yibing Wu will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 3 - 30%). Wu (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 19. Wu is ranked ATP: 196.

In recent matches, Bublik has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WW??L
- Yibing Wu
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Yibing Wu - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Jerome Kym - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLW

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