Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Valentin Royer		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.47
	2.03	1.74	Watch
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
39.1%

Cameron Norrie
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cameron Norrie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Royer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Valentin Royer - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Norrie (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 22 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 59. Norrie is ranked ATP: 31.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Norrie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LWWLW

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