Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Valentin Royer		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.39	3.32
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.35	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
68.9%

Max Houkes
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valentin Royer - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 76. Houkes is ranked ATP: 257.

Royer has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houkes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Royer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Royer will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Royer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Valentin Royer - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Arthur Fery - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Max Houkes - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Max Houkes - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Remy Bertola - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Max Houkes	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.03.25	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	0:2
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	1:2
08.04.22	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	1:2

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