Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Valentin Royer		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.63	2.48
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
60.5%

Joel Schwaerzler
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 76. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 173.

Royer has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Schwaerzler is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Royer might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Royer will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.08%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Valentin Royer - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Arthur Fery - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Gastao Elias - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide