Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Portugal	Sport TV7
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Valentin Vacherot		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.9	1.99
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.84	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
51.3%

Alex Michelsen
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 27. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41.

Vacherot is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Michelsen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Ben Shelton - Valentin Vacherot	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Valentin Vacherot	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Martin Damm - Valentin Vacherot	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mariano Navone - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW

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