Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Valentin Vacherot		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.58
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.32)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
39.2%

Casper Ruud
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Valentin Vacherot - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Vacherot (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Vacherot (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 26. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vacherot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ruud could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 41.04%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Casper Ruud - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Ben Shelton - Casper Ruud	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

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