Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI (THAILAND), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 January 2024, Thursday


	Valentin Vacherot		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.82	1.9
	1.88	1.99
	1.88	1.99
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.32)	1.88 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
50%

Francesco Passaro
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Valentin Vacherot - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Passaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Laurent Lokoli - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Francesco Passaro - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Radu Albot - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Sofia
05.11.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Ergi Kirkin - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

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