Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI (THAILAND), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.44	1.56
	2.44	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
39.5%

Valentin Vacherot
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Rio Noguchi - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vacherot will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Noguchi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vacherot is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vacherot will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Vacherot to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
31.12.23	Salvatore Caruso - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	Rio Noguchi - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Rio Noguchi - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Rio Noguchi - Yan Bai	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLL?
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Valentin Vacherot - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
30.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

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