Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Vilius Gaubas		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.27
	4.01	1.3
	3.74	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.71	1.31	Watch
	4	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.13)	1.27 ↑ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
25%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

77.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Vilius Gaubas - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 124. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 5.

Recent performances by Gaubas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWW?

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