Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Leandro Riedi		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.38
	3.35	1.38
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.44	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.79)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
29.6%

Vilius Gaubas
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leandro Riedi - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Riedi is ranked ATP: 129. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 124.

Riedi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gaubas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	August Holmgren - Leandro Riedi	Riedi L. Retired ✺
23.04.26	James McCabe - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro Riedi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL

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