The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrea Pellegrino 64.8%
Lorenzo Giustino 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.1%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.7%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 145., and Giustino is ranked ATP: 216..
Recent results have been tough for Pellegrino (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Giustino have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Pellegrino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pellegrino holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Pellegrino has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.4:0.8 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.12%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.88%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.