Match Info

Date: 23 May 2022, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.28
	1.56	2.22
	1.61	2.34
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	2.29 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
59.2%

Lorenzo Giustino
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Giustino will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Giustino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pellegrino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
14.05.22	Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
13.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
12.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
10.05.22	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWWW?
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.22	Pedro Sousa - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
16.05.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.22	Pedro Cachin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
06.05.22	Federico Gaio - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.04.19	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	Pellegrino A. retired
18.08.17	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.04.17	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2

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