Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.88	1.42
	2.8	1.43
	2.93	1.46
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.33)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
33.2%

Lorenzo Musetti
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Yannick Hanfmann - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Musetti will win (votes: 15 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hanfmann is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hanfmann won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Thiago Monteiro - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Barcelona
22.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
21.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner	Musetti L. walkover ✺
20.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
19.04.23	Jason Kubler - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sardinia
16.10.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.08.20	Yannick Hanfmann - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1

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