Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yaroslav Demin		Alexandr Binda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.72	2.00	Watch
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.76	1.99
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
53.3%

Alexandr Binda
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yaroslav Demin - Alexandr Binda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Demin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Binda will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 653., and Binda is ranked ATP: 474..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Demin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hanyi Liu - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Adam Walton - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Rawat Sidharth - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Kuan-Shou Chen - Alexandr Binda	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Jesse Flores	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
25.10.26	Martin Borisiouk - Yaroslav Demin	✺
- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Alexandr Binda - Millen Hurrion	✺
25.10.26	Alexandr Binda - Jia Hu	✺

Yaroslav Demin - Alexandr Binda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide