Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Yaroslav Demin		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.7
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
43.7%

Akira Santillan
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yaroslav Demin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yaroslav Demin - Akira Santillan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Demin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 653., and Santillan is ranked ATP: 324..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Demin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santillan holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hanyi Liu - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Jack Loge - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Niklas Schell - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Yassine Smiej - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Akira Santillan - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Kaigaoge Kang - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

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