Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 The Hague, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Yaroslav Demin		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.96	1.4
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.33
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.71	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.34)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
32.9%

Thijs Boogaard
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.

Thijs Boogaard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thijs Boogaard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Yaroslav Demin - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Demin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4 Games - Boogaard (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Demin (votes: 1 - 50%). Boogaard (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 703. Boogaard is ranked ATP: 863.

Demin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Boogaard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Demin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boogaard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Pieter De Lange	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Yannik Kelm - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Thijs Boogaard
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Thijs Boogaard	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thijs Boogaard	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLW?

Yaroslav Demin - Thijs Boogaard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide