Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo
7.7%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
92.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.9%

92.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 55., and Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3..

Cerundolo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alcaraz Garfia holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cerundolo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
02.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WW?WW

ATP Next Gen Finals
11.11.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:1

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia