Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Bernard Tomic		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.85	Watch
	2.13	1.77
	1.74	2.03	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)	1.93 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
51.3%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yasutaka Uchiyama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Bernard Tomic - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uchiyama (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Uchiyama (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Uchiyama (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 168. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225.

Tomic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchiyama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomic might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Omar Jasika - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tsung-Hao Huang - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Yaojie Zeng - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.01.24	Bernard Tomic - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2

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