Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Zdenek Kolar		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.78	1.93
	1.75	2.15
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.9	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.11)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
51.1%

Vilius Gaubas
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zdenek Kolar's performance.

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zdenek Kolar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zdenek Kolar - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kolar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolar (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 236. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 143.

In recent matches, Kolar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaubas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kolar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gaubas will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Max Houkes - Zdenek Kolar	Houkes M. retired ✺
20.09.25	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WW?LW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWW?W

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