Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.31
	3.26	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.46	1.31	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.27)	1.35 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
29.7%

Luciano Darderi
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Darderi will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 1 - 50%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 240. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.

Zhang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darderi is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Zhizhen Zhang - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Ben Shelton - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
01.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Luciano Darderi - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LL?WL

Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide