Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Luciano Darderi		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.16	4.45	Watch
	1.21	5.13
	1.19	4.79	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.18	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	4.82 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
80.3%

Marco Trungelliti
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Darderi (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 19. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117.

Darderi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trungelliti is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
01.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Luciano Darderi - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?WLLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWWW

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