Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.71	2.19	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
55.2%

Zizou Bergs
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zizou Bergs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Zhizhen Zhang - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhizhen Zhang will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 43. Bergs is ranked ATP: 74.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bergs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.04.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Zizou Bergs	0:2
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Zizou Bergs - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2

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