Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.11	1.7	Watch
	2.23	1.71
	2.28	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.11	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
43.8%

Zhizhen Zhang
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhizhen Zhang will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 64. Zhang is ranked ATP: 43.

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zhang is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Zhang to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
08.08.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LL?WW
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches