Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Zizou Bergs		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.09	1.75	Watch
	2.13	1.78
	2.06	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
45.4%

Jacob Fearnley
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zizou Bergs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zizou Bergs will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 52. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 55.

Bergs has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fearnley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Emilio Nava - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Daniel Evans - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Lloyd Harris	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Jacob Fearnley - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Marcos Giron - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP London
20.06.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

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