The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marcos Giron 36.8%
Jacob Fearnley 63.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcos Giron's form might have worsened.
Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcos Giron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
Marcos Giron - Jacob Fearnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jacob Fearnley will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Giron is ranked ATP: 46.Fearnley is ranked ATP: 51.
Giron is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fearnley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
The players have not played against each other recently.