Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Zsombor Piros		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.42
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	2.27 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
58.6%

Jurij Rodionov
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zsombor Piros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Zsombor Piros - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Piros will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Piros is ranked ATP: 161. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 176.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Piros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Piros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Calvin Hemery - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	George Loffhagen - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWW?
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jurij Rodionov - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Federico Cina - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

Zsombor Piros - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide