Match Info

Nations League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Beilun Gymnasium (Ningbo)


	USA		Poland

	1	2
	3.00	1.36
	2.65	1.40
	2.74	1.47
	3	1.37	Watch
	2.65	1.43
	2.73	1.50	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.61)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
33.9%

Poland
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

USA - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: Poland will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


1. Anderson M.	30. Boladz B.
13. Averill T.	96. Firlej J.
3. Briggs M.	21. Fornal T.
20. Champlin E.	18. Granieczny M.
11. Christenson M. (C)	34. Jakubiszak S.
8. Defalco T.	4. Komenda M.
17. Hanes J.	7. Lemanski B.
18. Hartke C.	9. Leon W.
4. Jendryk II J.	73. Nowak J.
26. Knigge M.	3. Popiwczak J.
14. Ma'a M.	35. Sasak K.
24. McHenry M.	16. Semeniuk K.
6. Robinson C.	11. Sliwka A. (C)
22. Shoji E.	12. Szalpuk A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 0.

USA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Poland will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USA won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
01.08.26	Japan - USA	2:3 ✺
30.07.26	Italy - USA	0:3 ✺
19.07.26	USA - Poland	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	USA - Bulgaria	1:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
16.07.26	USA - Brazil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW
- Poland volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
01.08.26	Slovenia - Poland	0:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
30.07.26	Poland - Ukraine	3:1 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
19.07.26	USA - Poland	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	France - Poland	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Brazil - Poland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
19.07.26	USA - Poland	0:3
Nations League Volleyball
28.06.25	USA - Poland	0:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball
07.08.24	Poland - USA	3:2
Friendly International Volleyball
21.07.24	Poland - USA	3:2
Nations League Volleyball
22.05.24	USA - Poland	0:3
23.07.23	Poland - USA	3:1
24.06.23	Poland - USA	0:3

USA - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide