Match Info

A1 - Round 22

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Florentia		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.86	7.48	1.67
	2.6	7	1.7
	2.57	7.2	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)	7.23 ↓ (7.32)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florentia
34.1%

Draw
12.6%

Napoli
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

12.6%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

13.9%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florentia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florentia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Florentia - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:14

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florentia won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Napoli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Florentia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:67. (average 8.2:11.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Florentia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:20. (average 9.5:10).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Napoli	1	1	0	0	20:14	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Napoli: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RN Florentia
Italian A1 Water Polo
28.03.26	Florentia - Trieste	16:19 ✺
14.03.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Florentia	14:11 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Florentia - Brescia	11:22
27.02.26	Olympic Roma - Florentia	9:10 ✺
21.02.26	Florentia - Roma Vis Nova	10:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLLWL
- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
28.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Napoli	11:13 ✺
13.03.26	Napoli - Posillipo	10:11 ✺
07.03.26	De Akker Bologna - Napoli	15:11 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Recco - Napoli	23:3
21.02.26	Napoli - Trieste	6:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
22.11.25	Napoli - Florentia	12:10
07.12.19	Napoli - Florentia	15:10
11.05.19	Napoli - Florentia	12:5
05.01.19	Florentia - Napoli	10:9
10.02.18	Florentia - Napoli	9:11
21.10.17	Napoli - Florentia	8:5

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