Match Info

A1 - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Trieste		Roma Vis Nova

	1	X	2
	1.5	7.9	3.47
	1.61	7.7	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	7.8 ↑ (7.62)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
59.3%

Draw
11.8%

Roma Vis Nova
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

12.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

11.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Roma Vis Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma Vis Nova than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Trieste - Roma Vis Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:12

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Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Trieste is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 63:69. (average 12.6:13.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:31. (average 16:15.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
11	Roma Visnova	2	0	0	2	23:44	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7% Roma Visnova: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
03.06.26	Trieste - Posillipo	13:14 ✺
30.05.26	Posillipo - Trieste	11:10 ✺
15.05.26	Trieste - Brescia	12:19 ✺
09.05.26	Olympic Roma - Trieste	10:14 ✺
29.04.26	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	21:19 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Roma Vis Nova
Italian A1 Water Polo
03.06.26	Roma Vis Nova - Pro Recco	14:26
30.05.26	Pro Recco - Roma Vis Nova	25:11
16.05.26	Napoli - Roma Vis Nova	10:11 ✺
29.04.26	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	21:19 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Roma Vis Nova - Rari Nantes Salerno	24:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	21:19 penalties
29.11.25	Roma Vis Nova - Trieste	17:10
12.02.25	Roma Vis Nova - Trieste	13:6
02.11.24	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	11:12
04.10.23	Roma Vis Nova - Trieste	8:15

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