Match Info

A1 - Round 24

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Olympic Roma		Trieste

	1	X	2
	3.52	8.31	1.48
	3.5	9	1.45
	3.28	7.8	1.51
	3.66	8.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	8.4 ↑ (8.05)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympic Roma
26.3%

Draw
10.9%

Trieste
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

11.4%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

11.2%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympic Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Roma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Olympic Roma - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:15

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Preview

In recent matches, Olympic Roma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trieste is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Trieste is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olympic Roma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 9.7:11).

Including home match between the teams, Olympic Roma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:13.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
4	Olympic Roma	2	1	0	1	32:34	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7% Olympic Roma: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympic Roma
Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Olympic Roma	12:13 ✺
18.04.26	Olympic Roma - Brescia	4:17
15.04.26	Olympic Roma - De Akker Bologna	13:11 ✺
28.03.26	Roma Vis Nova - Olympic Roma	13:12 ✺
14.03.26	Olympic Roma - Ortigia	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLW
- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	21:19 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Ortigia - Trieste	11:12 ✺
15.04.26	Trieste - Savona	17:19 ✺
28.03.26	Florentia - Trieste	16:19 ✺
14.03.26	Trieste - Quinto	21:20 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
06.12.25	Trieste - Olympic Roma	10:11
01.02.25	Olympic Roma - Trieste	9:13
19.10.24	Trieste - Olympic Roma	10:9

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