Match Info

USA: NFL - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, RTL
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Baltimore Ravens		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.85
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.46	2.9
	1.43	2.95
	1.45	2.78
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	2.89 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltimore Ravens
66.7%

Kansas City Chiefs
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltimore Ravens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltimore Ravens's performance.

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kansas City Chiefs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Ravens than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltimore Ravens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kansas City Chiefs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	0%	24.2%

Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Baltimore will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Kansas City will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltimore: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltimore won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Baltimore could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baltimore will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Baltimore to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Baltimore won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 131-169.

Including matches at home between the teams Baltimore won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 70-103.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltimore Ravens
NFL
20.01.24	Baltimore Ravens - Houston Texans	34:10 ✺
06.01.24	Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers	10:17 ✺
31.12.23	Baltimore Ravens - Miami Dolphins	56:19 ✺
25.12.23	San Francisco 49ers - Baltimore Ravens	19:33 ✺
17.12.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Baltimore Ravens	7:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
21.01.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	24:27 ✺
13.01.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	26:7 ✺
07.01.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	12:13 ✺
31.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	25:17 ✺
25.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	14:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
19.09.21	Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs	36:35
28.09.20	Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs	20:34
22.09.19	Kansas City Chiefs - Baltimore Ravens	33:28
09.12.18	Kansas City Chiefs - Baltimore Ravens	27:24 OT
20.12.15	Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs	14:34
07.10.12	Kansas City Chiefs - Baltimore Ravens	6:9

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