Match Info

USA: NFL - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	RTL
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Kansas City Chiefs		Miami Dolphins

	1	2
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.43	3.01
	1.43	3.01
	1.42	3
	1.41	2.97
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	2.99 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kansas City Chiefs
67.8%

Miami Dolphins
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kansas City Chiefs's performance.

Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Dolphins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	0%	32%

Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Miami will win (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:19

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Miami have a series of home games.

In this match Kansas City is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 117-69.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 50-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
07.01.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	12:13 ✺
31.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	25:17 ✺
25.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	14:20 ✺
17.12.23	New England Patriots - Kansas City Chiefs	17:27 ✺
10.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	17:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- Miami Dolphins
NFL
07.01.24	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	14:21 ✺
31.12.23	Baltimore Ravens - Miami Dolphins	56:19 ✺
24.12.23	Miami Dolphins - Dallas Cowboys	22:20 ✺
17.12.23	Miami Dolphins - New York Jets	30:0 ✺
11.12.23	Miami Dolphins - Tennessee Titans	27:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.11.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	21:14
13.12.20	Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs	27:33
24.12.17	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	29:13
21.09.14	Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs	15:34

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