Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 7

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Chicago Bears		Las Vegas Raiders

	1	2
	2.25	1.69	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.24	1.68	Watch
	2.27	1.69
	2.28	1.7
	2.2	1.71
	2.14	1.73
	2.11	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.94)	1.69 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bears
43.3%

Las Vegas Raiders
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Bears's form might have worsened.

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Vegas Raiders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Vegas Raiders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Chicago Bears - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Vegas Raiders will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:21

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 12).

Chicago is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Las Vegas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 97-79.

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
15.10.23	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	13:19 ✺
05.10.23	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	20:40 ✺
01.10.23	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	28:31 ✺
24.09.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	41:10 ✺
17.09.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Chicago Bears	27:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLL
- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
15.10.23	Las Vegas Raiders - New England Patriots	21:17 ✺
09.10.23	Las Vegas Raiders - Green Bay Packers	17:13 ✺
01.10.23	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	24:17 ✺
24.09.23	Las Vegas Raiders - Pittsburgh Steelers	18:23 ✺
17.09.23	Buffalo Bills - Las Vegas Raiders	38:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
10.10.21	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	9:20
06.10.19	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	24:21
04.10.15	Chicago Bears - Las Vegas Raiders	22:20
23.08.13	Las Vegas Raiders - Chicago Bears	26:34

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