Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: FirstEnergy Stadium (Cleveland)


	Cleveland Browns		Tampa Bay Buccaneers

	1	2
	2.55	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.57
	2.47	1.6
	2.43	1.56
	2.51	1.59
	2.55	1.57	Watch
	2.43	1.58
	2.32	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
38.9%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Cleveland Browns - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:23

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

Cleveland has currently - 3-7, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of win division (0.8%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Tampa Bay has currently - 5-5, has a good chance of playoffs (80%), has a good chance of win division (77%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.1%).

This event has quality 44, importance 35, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 2.

Cleveland is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tampa Bay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 114-102.

Including matches at home between the teams Cleveland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
20.11.22	Buffalo Bills - Cleveland Browns	31:23 ✺
13.11.22	Miami Dolphins - Cleveland Browns	39:17 ✺
31.10.22	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	32:13 ✺
23.10.22	Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns	23:20 ✺
16.10.22	Cleveland Browns - New England Patriots	15:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
13.11.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Seattle Seahawks	21:16 ✺
06.11.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Los Angeles Rams	16:13 ✺
27.10.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Baltimore Ravens	22:27 ✺
23.10.22	Carolina Panthers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21:3 ✺
16.10.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.08.19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns	13:12
21.10.18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns	26:23 OT
26.08.17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns	9:13
26.08.16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns	30:13
29.08.15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns	7:31
02.11.14	Cleveland Browns - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	22:17

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