Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 10

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Miami Dolphins		Cleveland Browns

	1	2
	1.57	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.57	2.55
	1.56	2.44
	1.61	2.48
	1.57	2.55	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.52	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.44)	2.47 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WKRC-Cincinnati, OH)

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
61.1%

Cleveland Browns
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Miami Dolphins - Cleveland Browns Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cleveland will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Miami has currently - 6-3, has a good chance of playoffs (80%), has a chance of win division (20%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (7%).

Cleveland has currently - 3-5, has a small chance of playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of win division (4%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has quality 51, importance 67, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Miami is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cleveland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Miami will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77-75.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
06.11.22	Chicago Bears - Miami Dolphins	32:35 ✺
30.10.22	Detroit Lions - Miami Dolphins	27:31 ✺
23.10.22	Miami Dolphins - Pittsburgh Steelers	16:10 ✺
16.10.22	Miami Dolphins - Minnesota Vikings	16:24 ✺
09.10.22	New York Jets - Miami Dolphins	40:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL
- Cleveland Browns
NFL
31.10.22	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	32:13 ✺
23.10.22	Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns	23:20 ✺
16.10.22	Cleveland Browns - New England Patriots	15:38 ✺
09.10.22	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	28:30 ✺
02.10.22	Atlanta Falcons - Cleveland Browns	23:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.11.19	Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins	41:24
25.09.16	Miami Dolphins - Cleveland Browns	30:24 OT
08.09.13	Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins	10:23

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