Match Info

UFL - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Houston Roughnecks		DC Defenders

	1	2
	2.55	1.53
	2.7	1.45
	2.85	1.43
	2.71	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.5
	2.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.25)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Houston Roughnecks
35.3%

DC Defenders
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Roughnecks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Roughnecks's form might have worsened.

DC Defenders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting DC Defenders's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Houston Roughnecks aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for DC Defenders aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Houston Roughnecks - DC Defenders Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Houston Roughnecks will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). DC Defenders will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:27

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (2 - 9)
2nd Quarter (9 - 0)
3rd Quarter (13 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 12)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Houston Roughnecks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

DC Defenders will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houston Roughnecks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:60. (average 22:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Roughnecks
UFL
17.05.25	Houston Roughnecks - Michigan Panthers	18:30 ✺
11.05.25	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Roughnecks	33:25 ✺
03.05.25	Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats	21:20 ✺
27.04.25	San Antonio Brahmas - Houston Roughnecks	3:27 ✺
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL
- DC Defenders
UFL
18.05.25	DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades	33:30 ✺
09.05.25	San Antonio Brahmas - DC Defenders	24:32 ✺
04.05.25	Michigan Panthers - DC Defenders	38:14 ✺
27.04.25	Dallas Renegades - DC Defenders	33:37 ✺
20.04.25	DC Defenders - San Antonio Brahmas	18:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UFL
07.04.24	DC Defenders - Houston Roughnecks	23:18
XFL
27.03.23	DC Defenders - Houston Roughnecks	37:26

Houston Roughnecks - DC Defenders