Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 7

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Indianapolis Colts		Cleveland Browns

	1	2
	2.55	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.55	1.54	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.52	1.58
	2.6	1.56
	2.5	1.55
	2.35	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.18)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
38.2%

Cleveland Browns
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indianapolis Colts's form might have worsened.

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cleveland Browns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indianapolis Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleveland Browns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Indianapolis will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Cleveland will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indianapolis: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:22

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cleveland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cleveland have a series of home games.

Cleveland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 141-124.

Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 93-68.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
15.10.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:20 ✺
08.10.23	Indianapolis Colts - Tennessee Titans	23:16 ✺
01.10.23	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Rams	23:29 OT ✺
24.09.23	Baltimore Ravens - Indianapolis Colts	19:22 OT ✺
17.09.23	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW
- Cleveland Browns
NFL
15.10.23	Cleveland Browns - San Francisco 49ers	19:17 ✺
01.10.23	Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens	3:28 ✺
24.09.23	Cleveland Browns - Tennessee Titans	27:3 ✺
18.09.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cleveland Browns	26:22 ✺
10.09.23	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	24:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
11.10.20	Cleveland Browns - Indianapolis Colts	32:23
17.08.19	Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns	18:21
24.09.17	Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns	31:28
07.12.14	Cleveland Browns - Indianapolis Colts	24:25
24.08.13	Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns	27:6
21.10.12	Indianapolis Colts - Cleveland Browns	17:13

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